104-101-49

Found some value during a study break

Plays

Indiana Pacers v Phoenix Suns

Game: under 197

1.924 (-108)

2 units

Los Angeles Lakers v Detroit Pistons

Game: over 206.5

1.924 (-108)

1 unit

Dallas Mavericks v Chicago Bulls

Game: over 203.5

1.981 (-102)

1 units

101-101-48

Total Model Record
101-101-48

Total Betting Record
75-76-6
-17 Units  

Bet sizing variance has been a killer.  I should probably only vary betsize by a unit or maybe 2, but then again, the blog is called pushing edges!  I don't know,I feel like if I wasn't pushing hard I would be closer to flipping coins than I probably already am. 

Mostly unrelated, but I will probably be taking the following week off to focus on some upcoming exams.

Games

Game	Line	Predict	Bet
SASvPHI	197.5	199	Over
MIAvWAS	188.5	188	PUSH
DENvUTA	208	206.5	Under
MINvLAC	215.5	216	Over

Plays

San Antonio Spurs v Philadelphia 76ers

Game: over 197.5

1.933 (-107)

2 units

Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz

Game: under 208

1.897 (-111)

2 units

99-97-46

Total Model Record
99-97-46

Total Betting Record
73-74-6
-12.7 Units  

Games
 

Game	Line	Predict	Bet
SASvBOS	204.5	212.5	Over
CHIvBKN	194	193	Under
GSWvDET	202	202.5	Over
MEMvSAC	195	195.5	Over
MIAvNYK	189	189	PUSH
ORLvPHX	205.5	205.5	PUSH
MINvPOR	211.5	208.5	Under
TORvLAL	212	209.5	Under

Plays

San Antonio Spurs v Boston Celtics 

Game: over 204.5

1.906 (-110)

5 Unit


Minnesota Timberwolves v Portland Trail Blazers
Game: under 211.5
1.924 (-108)
3 Units

Toronto Raptors v Los Angeles Lakers
Game: under 212
1.873 (-115)
3 Units

Chicago Bulls v Brooklyn Nets
Game: under 194
1.897 (-111)
1 Unit

98-94-44

Total Model Record
98-94-44

Total Betting Record
73-74-6
-10 Units  :(

I've begun rounding my model predictions to make it a bit easier to gauge for followers.  If people prefer the exact number, let me know.

Today's Games

Game	Line	Predict	Bet
DALvPHI	206.5	205.5	Under
NOPvWAS	198	198	Over
CHAvATL	198.5	198.5	Over
INDvCLE	195.5	195	Under
LACvUTA	199.5	200.5	Over
HOUvMIL	192.5	191	Under

My Plays

Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks
Game: under 192.5
1.857 (-117)
2 units

Los Angeles Clippers v Utah JazzGame: over 199.5
1.924 (-108)
1 unit

Dallas Mavericks v Philadelphia 76ers
Game: under 206.5
1.924 (-108)
1 units

94-88-42

Total Model Record
94-88-42

Total Betting Record
72-68-6
-2.6 Units

Happy thanksgiving! Complete model results back tomorrow.  Plays not included are - Over on the Charlotte and Detroit games, under on Indy and Lakers games.  Those 4 games  not wide enough to play though but will be counted in model record as per usual.  OKC and Denver games are pushed.

My Plays
 
Chicago Bulls v Boston Celtics
Game: under 205
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit

Dallas Mavericks v Toronto Raptors
Game: over 210
1.971 (-103)
1 Unit

New Orleans Pelicans v Atlanta Hawks
Game: under 206
1.961 (-104)
1 Unit

Minnesota Timberwolves v Los Angeles Lakers
Game: under 215
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit

Los Angeles Clippers v Houston Rockets
Game: over 199
1.897 (-111)
2 Unit

Sacramento Kings v San Antonio Spurs
Game: under 194.5
1.924 (-108)
2 Unit

Memphis Grizzlies v Portland Trail Blazers
Game: under 192.5
1.906 (-110)
2 unit

86-81-42

Total Model Record
86-81-42

Total Betting Record
67-63-6
-2.2 Units

Games
 

Game	Line	Predict	Bet
PORvCHA	192.5	191.95	Under
WASvCLE	201	198.16	Under
GSWvORL	203	201.1	Under
BKNVPHI	198	195.73	Under
NYKvDAL	201	196.35	Under
TORvATL	204.5	207.21	Over
LACvDET	197	193.87	Under
SACvHOU	193.5	196.98	Over
MILvMIN	205	201.31	Under
UTAvOKC	185.5	189.02	Over
INDvSAS	188.5	189.62	Over
DENvPHX	216	215.28	Under
MEMvLAL	202	198.78	Under

Plays
 
Golden State Warriors v Orlando Magic
Game: under 203
1.952 (-105)
1 Unit
Brooklyn Nets v Philadelphia 76ers
Game: under 198
2.001 (+100)
2 Units
Washington Wizards v Cleveland Cavaliers
Game: under 201
1.971 (-103)
2 Units
Los Angeles Clippers v Detroit Pistons
Game: under 197
1.942 (-106)
2.5 Units
Toronto Raptors v Atlanta Hawks
Game: over 204.5
1.971 (-103)
2 Units
New York Knicks v Dallas Mavericks
Game: under 201
1.952 (-105)
2.5 Units
Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves
Game: under 205
1.842 (-119)
2 Units
Utah Jazz v Oklahoma City Thunder
Game: over 185.5
1.906 (-110)
2 Units
Sacramento Kings v Houston Rockets
Game: over 193.5
1.873 (-115)
2 Units
Memphis Grizzlies v Los Angeles Lakers
Game: under 202
1.971 (-103)
2 Units

85-79-40

Total Model Record
85-79-40

Total Betting Record
66-61-6
-0.95 Units

Today`s Games
 

Game	Line	Predict	Bet
ATLvWAS	200.5	206.84	Over
GSWvMIA	199	198.94	PUSH
DETvMIL	191.5	191.27	PUSH
SACvNOP	203	208.21	Over
CHIvDEN	202.5	198.6	Under

My Plays

Atlanta Hawks v Washington Wizards

Game: over 200.5

1.942 (-106)

4 Units

Sacramento Kings v New Orleans Pelicans

Game: over 203

1.882 (-113)

3 Units

 

Chicago Bulls v Denver Nuggets

Game: under 202.5

1.924 (-108)

2 Units