I thought I’d start off with a quick introduction of myself and what my goals are here.
I’ve been a professional gambler for almost 10 years now, playing
poker almost exclusively. It went quite well, but as games got tougher
online, I began to search out my exit strategy.
I’ve begun doing financial analysis and feel that’s where my future
lies. But as I study markets, I’ve begun a sort of pet project which pertains to sports betting.
Over the past few months, I’ve developed a predictive model to help determine the most
likely outcome of NBA games. More specifically, the total scores of
these games.
While I don’t intend to discuss the model, I will post my predictions
of all games prior to tip-off. I will, however, only be betting those
games where I feel it is justified.
This is a project undertaken to help me get comfortable with using Excel/stata in great depth. In that sense, regardless of the results, this has already been a success.
As far as goals, I would be happy if my model could beat the bookies enough to cover vig. I would be thrilled with any significant ROI.
Either way, this has been my baby for the last few months, and I’m looking forward to putting it to work tomorrow.
