Plays
Indiana Pacers v Phoenix Suns
Game: under 197
1.924 (-108)
2 units
Los Angeles Lakers v Detroit Pistons
Game: over 206.5
1.924 (-108)
1 unit
Dallas Mavericks v Chicago Bulls
Game: over 203.5
1.981 (-102)
1 unitsTuesday, December 2, 2014
Monday, December 1, 2014
101-101-48
Total Model Record
101-101-48
Total Betting Record
75-76-6
-17 Units
Bet sizing variance has been a killer. I should probably only vary betsize by a unit or maybe 2, but then again, the blog is called pushing edges! I don't know,I feel like if I wasn't pushing hard I would be closer to flipping coins than I probably already am.
Mostly unrelated, but I will probably be taking the following week off to focus on some upcoming exams.
Games
Plays
101-101-48
Total Betting Record
75-76-6
-17 Units
Bet sizing variance has been a killer. I should probably only vary betsize by a unit or maybe 2, but then again, the blog is called pushing edges! I don't know,I feel like if I wasn't pushing hard I would be closer to flipping coins than I probably already am.
Mostly unrelated, but I will probably be taking the following week off to focus on some upcoming exams.
Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| SASvPHI | 197.5 | 199 | Over |
| MIAvWAS | 188.5 | 188 | PUSH |
| DENvUTA | 208 | 206.5 | Under |
| MINvLAC | 215.5 | 216 | Over |
Plays
San Antonio Spurs v Philadelphia 76ers
Game: over 197.5
1.933 (-107)
2 units
Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz
Game: under 208
1.897 (-111)
2 unitsSunday, November 30, 2014
99-97-46
Total Model Record
99-97-46
Total Betting Record
73-74-6
-12.7 Units
Games
Plays
Game: over 204.5
Minnesota Timberwolves v Portland Trail Blazers
Game: under 211.5
1.924 (-108)
3 Units
Toronto Raptors v Los Angeles Lakers
Game: under 212
1.873 (-115)
3 Units
Chicago Bulls v Brooklyn Nets
Game: under 194
1.897 (-111)
1 Unit
99-97-46
Total Betting Record
73-74-6
-12.7 Units
Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| SASvBOS | 204.5 | 212.5 | Over |
| CHIvBKN | 194 | 193 | Under |
| GSWvDET | 202 | 202.5 | Over |
| MEMvSAC | 195 | 195.5 | Over |
| MIAvNYK | 189 | 189 | PUSH |
| ORLvPHX | 205.5 | 205.5 | PUSH |
| MINvPOR | 211.5 | 208.5 | Under |
| TORvLAL | 212 | 209.5 | Under |
Plays
San Antonio Spurs v Boston Celtics
Game: over 204.5
1.906 (-110)
5 UnitMinnesota Timberwolves v Portland Trail Blazers
Game: under 211.5
1.924 (-108)
3 Units
Toronto Raptors v Los Angeles Lakers
Game: under 212
1.873 (-115)
3 Units
Chicago Bulls v Brooklyn Nets
Game: under 194
1.897 (-111)
1 Unit
Saturday, November 29, 2014
98-94-44
Total Model Record
98-94-44
Total Betting Record
73-74-6
-10 Units :(
I've begun rounding my model predictions to make it a bit easier to gauge for followers. If people prefer the exact number, let me know.
Today's Games
My Plays
Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks
Game: under 192.5
1.857 (-117)
2 units
Los Angeles Clippers v Utah JazzGame: over 199.5
1.924 (-108)
1 unit
Dallas Mavericks v Philadelphia 76ers
Game: under 206.5
1.924 (-108)
1 units
98-94-44
Total Betting Record
73-74-6
-10 Units :(
I've begun rounding my model predictions to make it a bit easier to gauge for followers. If people prefer the exact number, let me know.
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| DALvPHI | 206.5 | 205.5 | Under |
| NOPvWAS | 198 | 198 | Over |
| CHAvATL | 198.5 | 198.5 | Over |
| INDvCLE | 195.5 | 195 | Under |
| LACvUTA | 199.5 | 200.5 | Over |
| HOUvMIL | 192.5 | 191 | Under |
My Plays
Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks
Game: under 192.5
1.857 (-117)
2 units
Los Angeles Clippers v Utah JazzGame: over 199.5
1.924 (-108)
1 unit
Dallas Mavericks v Philadelphia 76ers
Game: under 206.5
1.924 (-108)
1 units
Friday, November 28, 2014
94-88-42
Total Model Record
94-88-42
Total Betting Record
72-68-6
-2.6 Units
Happy thanksgiving! Complete model results back tomorrow. Plays not included are - Over on the Charlotte and Detroit games, under on Indy and Lakers games. Those 4 games not wide enough to play though but will be counted in model record as per usual. OKC and Denver games are pushed.
My Plays
Chicago Bulls v Boston Celtics
Game: under 205
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit
Dallas Mavericks v Toronto Raptors
Game: over 210
1.971 (-103)
1 Unit
New Orleans Pelicans v Atlanta Hawks
Game: under 206
1.961 (-104)
1 Unit
Minnesota Timberwolves v Los Angeles Lakers
Game: under 215
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit
Los Angeles Clippers v Houston Rockets
Game: over 199
1.897 (-111)
2 Unit
Sacramento Kings v San Antonio Spurs
Game: under 194.5
1.924 (-108)
2 Unit
Memphis Grizzlies v Portland Trail Blazers
Game: under 192.5
1.906 (-110)
2 unit
94-88-42
Total Betting Record
72-68-6
-2.6 Units
Happy thanksgiving! Complete model results back tomorrow. Plays not included are - Over on the Charlotte and Detroit games, under on Indy and Lakers games. Those 4 games not wide enough to play though but will be counted in model record as per usual. OKC and Denver games are pushed.
My Plays
Chicago Bulls v Boston Celtics
Game: under 205
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit
Dallas Mavericks v Toronto Raptors
Game: over 210
1.971 (-103)
1 Unit
New Orleans Pelicans v Atlanta Hawks
Game: under 206
1.961 (-104)
1 Unit
Minnesota Timberwolves v Los Angeles Lakers
Game: under 215
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit
Los Angeles Clippers v Houston Rockets
Game: over 199
1.897 (-111)
2 Unit
Sacramento Kings v San Antonio Spurs
Game: under 194.5
1.924 (-108)
2 Unit
Memphis Grizzlies v Portland Trail Blazers
Game: under 192.5
1.906 (-110)
2 unit
Wednesday, November 26, 2014
86-81-42
Total Model Record
86-81-42
Total Betting Record
67-63-6
-2.2 Units
Games
Plays
Golden State Warriors v Orlando Magic
Game: under 203
1.952 (-105)
1 Unit
Brooklyn Nets v Philadelphia 76ers
Game: under 198
2.001 (+100)
2 Units
Washington Wizards v Cleveland Cavaliers
Game: under 201
1.971 (-103)
2 Units
Los Angeles Clippers v Detroit Pistons
Game: under 197
1.942 (-106)
2.5 Units
Toronto Raptors v Atlanta Hawks
Game: over 204.5
1.971 (-103)
2 Units
New York Knicks v Dallas Mavericks
Game: under 201
1.952 (-105)
2.5 Units
Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves
Game: under 205
1.842 (-119)
2 Units
Utah Jazz v Oklahoma City Thunder
Game: over 185.5
1.906 (-110)
2 Units
Sacramento Kings v Houston Rockets
Game: over 193.5
1.873 (-115)
2 Units
Memphis Grizzlies v Los Angeles Lakers
Game: under 202
1.971 (-103)
2 Units
86-81-42
Total Betting Record
67-63-6
-2.2 Units
Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| PORvCHA | 192.5 | 191.95 | Under |
| WASvCLE | 201 | 198.16 | Under |
| GSWvORL | 203 | 201.1 | Under |
| BKNVPHI | 198 | 195.73 | Under |
| NYKvDAL | 201 | 196.35 | Under |
| TORvATL | 204.5 | 207.21 | Over |
| LACvDET | 197 | 193.87 | Under |
| SACvHOU | 193.5 | 196.98 | Over |
| MILvMIN | 205 | 201.31 | Under |
| UTAvOKC | 185.5 | 189.02 | Over |
| INDvSAS | 188.5 | 189.62 | Over |
| DENvPHX | 216 | 215.28 | Under |
| MEMvLAL | 202 | 198.78 | Under |
Plays
Golden State Warriors v Orlando Magic
Game: under 203
1.952 (-105)
1 Unit
Brooklyn Nets v Philadelphia 76ers
Game: under 198
2.001 (+100)
2 Units
Washington Wizards v Cleveland Cavaliers
Game: under 201
1.971 (-103)
2 Units
Los Angeles Clippers v Detroit Pistons
Game: under 197
1.942 (-106)
2.5 Units
Toronto Raptors v Atlanta Hawks
Game: over 204.5
1.971 (-103)
2 Units
New York Knicks v Dallas Mavericks
Game: under 201
1.952 (-105)
2.5 Units
Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves
Game: under 205
1.842 (-119)
2 Units
Utah Jazz v Oklahoma City Thunder
Game: over 185.5
1.906 (-110)
2 Units
Sacramento Kings v Houston Rockets
Game: over 193.5
1.873 (-115)
2 Units
Memphis Grizzlies v Los Angeles Lakers
Game: under 202
1.971 (-103)
2 Units
Tuesday, November 25, 2014
85-79-40
Total Model Record
85-79-40
Total Betting Record
66-61-6
-0.95 Units
Today`s Games
My Plays
85-79-40
Total Betting Record
66-61-6
-0.95 Units
Today`s Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| ATLvWAS | 200.5 | 206.84 | Over |
| GSWvMIA | 199 | 198.94 | PUSH |
| DETvMIL | 191.5 | 191.27 | PUSH |
| SACvNOP | 203 | 208.21 | Over |
| CHIvDEN | 202.5 | 198.6 | Under |
My Plays
Atlanta Hawks v Washington Wizards
Game: over 200.5
1.942 (-106)
4 Units
Sacramento Kings v New Orleans Pelicans
Game: over 203
1.882 (-113)
3 Units
Chicago Bulls v Denver Nuggets
Game: under 202.5
1.924 (-108)
2 UnitsMonday, November 24, 2014
81-77-39
Total Model Record
81-77-39
Total Betting Record
62-60-5
-6.5 Units
Today's Games
My Plays
81-77-39
Total Betting Record
62-60-5
-6.5 Units
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| LACvCHA | 197 | 196.45 | Under |
| ORLvCLE | 201.5 | 198.45 | Under |
| PORvPHI | 201 | 199.11 | Under |
| PHXvTOR | 207.5 | 204.93 | Under |
| NYKvHOU | 193 | 189.64 | Under |
| INDvDAL | 196 | 199.71 | Over |
| CHIvUTA | 192 | 195.86 | Over |
My Plays
Portland Trail Blazers v Philadelphia 76ers
Game: under 201
1.942 (-106)
1 Unit
Orlando Magic v Cleveland Cavaliers
Game: under 201.5
1.952 (-105)
2 Unit
Phoenix Suns v Toronto Raptors
Game: under 207.5
1.906 (-110)
1 Unit
New York Knicks v Houston Rockets
Game: under 193
1.971 (-103)
2 Unit
Indiana Pacers v Dallas Mavericks
Game: over 196
1.933 (-107)
2 Unit
Chicago Bulls v Utah Jazz
Game: over 192
1.915 (-109)
2 UnitSunday, November 23, 2014
80-76-36
Total Model Record
80-76-36
Total Betting Record
62-59-4
-2.5 Units
Today's Games
My Plays
Los Angeles Clippers v Memphis Grizzlies
Game: under 198
1.924 (-108)
2 Units
Golden State Warriors v Oklahoma City Thunder
Game: over 194
1.906 (-110)
4 Units
80-76-36
Total Betting Record
62-59-4
-2.5 Units
Today's Games
| LACvMEM | 198 | 194.73 | Under |
| PORvBOS | 211.5 | 211.56 | PUSH |
| CHAvMIA | 187 | 186.96 | PUSH |
| GSWvOKC | 194 | 201.87 | Over |
| DENvLAL | 218.5 | 217.36 | Under |
My Plays
Los Angeles Clippers v Memphis Grizzlies
Game: under 198
1.924 (-108)
2 Units
Golden State Warriors v Oklahoma City Thunder
Game: over 194
1.906 (-110)
4 Units
Saturday, November 22, 2014
77-71-35
Total Model Record
77-71-35
Total Betting Record
60-55-4 (.522)
-3 Units
Finally won a 4 unit play last night. Helped to balance out some of the unit variance. A win tonight and 4 unit plays will be even at 4-4-1. FWIW, 3 Unit plays are at 5-5-1. 1 and 2 unit plays combine for a record of 51-44-2. 200 Units total have been put in play so far.
Today's Games
My Plays
Brooklyn Nets v San Antonio Spurs
Game: under 193
1.906 (-110)
4 Units
New Orleans Pelicans v Utah Jazz
Game: over 199
1.924 (-108)
2 Units
Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks
Game: under 194
1.952 (-105)
1 Unit
Toronto Raptors v Cleveland Cavaliers
Game: over 205
1.897 (-111)
1 Unit
Dallas Mavericks v Houston Rockets
Game: over 204.5
1.906 (-110)
2 Units
Sacramento Kings v Minnesota Timberwolves
Game: under 211
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit
77-71-35
Total Betting Record
60-55-4 (.522)
-3 Units
Finally won a 4 unit play last night. Helped to balance out some of the unit variance. A win tonight and 4 unit plays will be even at 4-4-1. FWIW, 3 Unit plays are at 5-5-1. 1 and 2 unit plays combine for a record of 51-44-2. 200 Units total have been put in play so far.
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| PHXvIND | 194.5 | 193.47 | Under |
| MIAvORL | 192.5 | 193.35 | Over |
| TORvCLE | 205 | 206.12 | Over |
| PHIvNYK | 199.5 | 199.55 | PUSH |
| DALvHOU | 204.5 | 207.48 | Over |
| SACvMIN | 211 | 209.85 | Under |
| WASvMIL | 194 | 191.08 | Under |
| BKNVSAS | 193 | 188.58 | Under |
| NOPVUTA | 199 | 201.15 | Over |
My Plays
Brooklyn Nets v San Antonio Spurs
Game: under 193
1.906 (-110)
4 Units
New Orleans Pelicans v Utah Jazz
Game: over 199
1.924 (-108)
2 Units
Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks
Game: under 194
1.952 (-105)
1 Unit
Toronto Raptors v Cleveland Cavaliers
Game: over 205
1.897 (-111)
1 Unit
Dallas Mavericks v Houston Rockets
Game: over 204.5
1.906 (-110)
2 Units
Sacramento Kings v Minnesota Timberwolves
Game: under 211
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit
Friday, November 21, 2014
71-66-34
Total Model Record
71-66-34
Total Betting Record
55-51-4
-9 Units
Today's Games
My Plays
Detroit Pistons v Atlanta Hawks
Game: under 197.5
1.915 (-109)
4 units
Boston Celtics v Memphis Grizzlies
Game: over 199
1.906 (-110)
4 units
Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors
Game: over 199.5
1.906 (-110)
2 units
San Antonio Spurs v Minnesota Timberwolves
Game: under 201.5
1.924 (-108)
1 units
Cleveland Cavaliers v Washington Wizards
Game: under 203.5
2.001 (+100)
2 units
Brooklyn Nets v Oklahoma City Thunder
Game: over 187
1.971 (-103)
1 units
Los Angeles Lakers v Dallas Mavericks
Game: under 216
1.915 (-109)
2 units
New Orleans Pelicans v Denver Nuggets
Game: under 212
1.991 (-101)
2 units
Utah Jazz v Golden State Warriors
Game: under 207
1.952 (-105)
1 units
71-66-34
Total Betting Record
55-51-4
-9 Units
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| ORLvCHA | 191 | 190 | Under |
| PHXvPHI | 208.5 | 209.93 | Over |
| DETvATL | 197.5 | 190.71 | Under |
| MILvTOR | 199.5 | 203.6 | Over |
| BOSvMEM | 199 | 204.95 | Over |
| SASvMIN | 201.5 | 199.31 | Under |
| BKNvOKC | 187 | 188.95 | Over |
| CLEvWAS | 203.5 | 199.73 | Under |
| LALvDAL | 216 | 213.08 | Under |
| NOPvDEN | 212 | 208.61 | Under |
| UTAvGSW | 207 | 205.14 | Under |
| CHIvPOR | 195 | 195.02 | PUSH |
My Plays
Detroit Pistons v Atlanta Hawks
Game: under 197.5
1.915 (-109)
4 units
Boston Celtics v Memphis Grizzlies
Game: over 199
1.906 (-110)
4 units
Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors
Game: over 199.5
1.906 (-110)
2 units
San Antonio Spurs v Minnesota Timberwolves
Game: under 201.5
1.924 (-108)
1 units
Cleveland Cavaliers v Washington Wizards
Game: under 203.5
2.001 (+100)
2 units
Brooklyn Nets v Oklahoma City Thunder
Game: over 187
1.971 (-103)
1 units
Los Angeles Lakers v Dallas Mavericks
Game: under 216
1.915 (-109)
2 units
New Orleans Pelicans v Denver Nuggets
Game: under 212
1.991 (-101)
2 units
Utah Jazz v Golden State Warriors
Game: under 207
1.952 (-105)
1 units
Thursday, November 20, 2014
70-65-34
Model: 70-65-34
Betting Record: 55-50-4
-7 Units
Todays Games
My Plays
Betting Record: 55-50-4
-7 Units
Todays Games
| LACvMIA | 197.5 | 194.31 | Under |
| CHIvSAC | 194 | 192.94 | Under |
My Plays
Los Angeles Clippers v Miami Heat
Game: under 197.5
1.906 (-110)
2 Units
Wednesday, November 19, 2014
66-60-32
Total Model Record
66-60-32
Total Betting Record
52-46-4
-4.8 Units
Today's Games
My Plays
66-60-32
Total Betting Record
52-46-4
-4.8 Units
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| SASvCLE | 203 | 205.12 | Over |
| CHAvIND | 181 | 177.51 | Under |
| LACvORL | 203 | 203.1 | PUSH |
| BOSvPHI | 211 | 211.23 | Over |
| DALvWAS | 201 | 200.24 | Under |
| MILvBKN | 196.5 | 200.21 | Over |
| PHXvDET | 204.5 | 202.66 | Under |
| MEMvTOR | 196.5 | 195.48 | Under |
| NYKvMIN | 205.5 | 204.32 | Under |
| OKCvDEN | 198 | 197.94 | PUSH |
| LALvHOU | 209 | 212.21 | Over |
My Plays
San Antonio Spurs v Cleveland Cavaliers
Game: over 203
1.924 (-108)
1 unit
Boston Celtics v Philadelphia 76ers
Game: over 211
1.897 (-111)
1 unit
Charlotte Hornets v Indiana Pacers
Game: under 181
1.924 (-108)
2 unit
Phoenix Suns v Detroit Pistons
Game: under 204.5
1.933 (-107)
1 unit
New York Knicks v Minnesota Timberwolves
Game: under 205.5
1.961 (-104)
1 unit
Los Angeles Lakers v Houston Rockets
Game: over 209
1.924 (-108)
3 unit
Milwaukee Bucks v Brooklyn Nets
Game: over 196.5
1.952 (-105)
1 unit
Sidenote: How is Toronto favored tonight versus arguably their toughest match-up in the entire NBA? An without their best post defender/rebounder at that! Easy play on Memphis for me. (Only my 2nd money-line play of the season)
The Dallas line also looks juicy against a very overrated Wizards.
The Dallas line also looks juicy against a very overrated Wizards.
Tuesday, November 18, 2014
62-60-32
Total Model Record
62-60-32
Total Betting Record
50-46-4
-8.5 Units
Today's Games
My Plays
62-60-32
Total Betting Record
50-46-4
-8.5 Units
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| LALvATL | 214 | 216.12 | Over |
| NYKvMIL | 191.5 | 192.13 | Over |
| OKCvUTA | 187.5 | 181.95 | Under |
| NOPvSAC | 200.5 | 201.04 | Over |
My Plays
Los Angeles Lakers v Atlanta Hawks
Game: over 214
1.942 (-106)
1 unit
Oklahoma City Thunder v Utah Jazz
Game: under 187.5
1.952 (-105)
3 units
Monday, November 17, 2014
58-56-31
Total Model Record
58-56-31
Total Betting Record
49-43-4
-4 Units
Today's Games
My Plays
58-56-31
Total Betting Record
49-43-4
-4 Units
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| DALvCHA | 200.5 | 199.48 | Under |
| DENvCLE | 215.5 | 213.82 | Under |
| PHXvBOS | 216 | 213.37 | Under |
| MIAvBKN | 195.5 | 195.53 | PUSH |
| ORLvDET | 191 | 188.89 | Under |
| HOUvMEM | 186.5 | 187.62 | Over |
| PHIvSAS | 195.5 | 198.88 | Over |
| NOPvPOR | 203 | 203.44 | Over |
| CHIvLAC | 198.5 | 196.73 | Under |
My Plays
Chicago Bulls v Los Angeles Clippers
Game: under 198.5
1.952 (-105)
1 Unit
Philadelphia 76ers v San Antonio Spurs
Game: over 195.5
1.882 (-113)
2 Units
Orlando Magic v Detroit Pistons
Game: under 191
1.890 (-112)
2 Units
Phoenix Suns v Boston Celtics
Game: under 216
1.924 (-108)
1.5 UnitsSunday, November 16, 2014
57-53-31
Total Model Record
57-53-31
Total Betting Record
48-42-4
-2.97 Units
Games Today
My Plays
Golden State Warriors v Los Angeles Lakers
57-53-31
Total Betting Record
48-42-4
-2.97 Units
Games Today
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| DENvNYK | 203.5 | 204.01 | Over |
| MILvMIA | 189.5 | 190.1 | Over |
| HOUvOKC | 194.5 | 192.57 | Under |
| GSWvLAL | 209.5 | 205.98 | Under |
My Plays
Golden State Warriors v Los Angeles Lakers
Game: under 209.5
1.952 (-105)
2 Units
Houston Rockets v Oklahoma City Thunder
Game: under 194.5
1.906 (-110)
1 UnitSaturday, November 15, 2014
51-51-29
Total Model Record
51-51-29
Total Betting Record
44-40-4
-1.19Units
Today's Games
My Plays
Utah Jazz v Toronto Raptors
Game: over 200
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit
San Antonio Spurs v Sacramento Kings
Game: under 195
1.924 (-108)
1 unit
Brooklyn Nets v Portland Trail Blazers
Game: under 204
1.942 (-106)
1.5 Units
Charlotte Hornets v Golden State Warriors
Game: over 201.5
1.897 (-111)
2 Units
Indiana Pacers v Chicago Bulls
Game: over 184.5
1.952 (-105)
1 Unit
Detroit Pistons v Memphis Grizzlies
Game: over 186.5
1.915 (-109)
4 Units
51-51-29
Total Betting Record
44-40-4
-1.19Units
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| ORLvWAS | 194.5 | 194.56 | PUSH |
| ATLvCLE | 207 | 206.61 | PUSH |
| UTAvTOR | 200 | 201.73 | Over |
| INDvCHI | 184.5 | 186.12 | Over |
| DETvMEM | 186.5 | 193.69 | Over |
| MINvDAL | 210.5 | 211.35 | Over |
| BKNvPOR | 204 | 201.63 | Under |
| SASvSAC | 195 | 193.1 | Under |
| CHAvGSW | 201.5 | 204.42 | Over |
| PHXvLAC | 209.5 | 210.29 | Over |
My Plays
Utah Jazz v Toronto Raptors
Game: over 200
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit
San Antonio Spurs v Sacramento Kings
Game: under 195
1.924 (-108)
1 unit
Brooklyn Nets v Portland Trail Blazers
Game: under 204
1.942 (-106)
1.5 Units
Charlotte Hornets v Golden State Warriors
Game: over 201.5
1.897 (-111)
2 Units
Indiana Pacers v Chicago Bulls
Game: over 184.5
1.952 (-105)
1 Unit
Detroit Pistons v Memphis Grizzlies
Game: over 186.5
1.915 (-109)
4 Units
Friday, November 14, 2014
47-46-28
On the run today, picks are in though.
My Plays
My Plays
Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers
Game: over 196
1.906 (-110)
.5 Unit
Cleveland Cavaliers v Boston Celtics
Game: under 211
1.906 (-110)
.5 Unit
Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks
Game: over 194.5
1.961 (-104)
1 Unit
Utah Jazz v New York Knicks
Game: under 192.5
1.890 (-112)
.5 Unit
Detroit Pistons v Oklahoma City Thunder
Game: over 190.5
1.942 (-106)
.5 Unit
Minnesota Timberwolves v New Orleans Pelicans
Game: under 205.5
1.924 (-108)
.5 Unit
Philadelphia 76ers v Houston Rockets
Game: under 205.5
1.942 (-106)
2 Units
Charlotte Hornets v Phoenix Suns
Game: under 202
1.942 (-106)
2 Units
San Antonio Spurs v Los Angeles Lakers
Game: under 206
1.882 (-113)
1 unit
Thursday, November 13, 2014
46-44-27
Total Model Record
46-44-27
Total Betting Record
39-33-3
-1.2Units
Today's Games
My Plays
Philadelphia 76ers v Dallas Mavericks
46-44-27
Total Betting Record
39-33-3
-1.2Units
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet | ||
| SACvMEM | 191.5 | 190.41 | Under | ||
| CHIvTOR | 196.5 | 201.65 | Over | ||
| PHIvDAL | 209.5 | 208.29 | Under | ||
| BKNvGSW | 206 | 204.8 | Under |
My Plays
Sacramento Kings v Memphis Grizzlies
Game: under 191.5
1.924 (-108)
1 unit
Chicago Bulls v Toronto Raptors
Game: over 196.5
1.857 (-117)
3 unitsPhiladelphia 76ers v Dallas Mavericks
Game: under 209.5
1.933 (-107)
1 unit
Brooklyn Nets v Golden State Warriors
Game: under 206
2.030 (+103)
1 unitWednesday, November 12, 2014
44-38-26
Total Model Record
44-38-26
Total Betting Record
37-27-2
+3.8 Units
Today's Games
My Plays
Detroit Pistons v Washington Wizards
Game: under 192
1.915 (-109)
.5 (HALF) Unit
Oklahoma City Thunder v Boston Celtics
Game: over 197
1.991 (-101)
.5 (HALF) Unit
Orlando Magic v New York Knicks
Game: over 192.5
1.915 (-109)
1.5 Units
Utah Jazz v Atlanta Hawks
Game: under 198
1.971 (-103)
1.5 Units
Indiana Pacers v Miami Heat
Game: over 188.5
1.991 (-101)
3 Units
Portland Trail Blazers v Denver Nuggets
Game: under 209.5
1.924 (-108)
.5 (HALF) Unit
Brooklyn Nets v Phoenix Suns
Game: under 205
1.915 (-109)
1 Unit
Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves (n)
Game: under 201
1.961 (-104)
.5 (HALF) Unit
Los Angeles Lakers v New Orleans Pelicans
Game: under 211
1.882 (-113)
3 units
44-38-26
Total Betting Record
37-27-2
+3.8 Units
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| DETvWAS | 192 | 191.15 | Under |
| UTAvATL | 198 | 194.72 | Under |
| OKCvBOS | 197 | 198.04 | Over |
| INDvMIA | 188.5 | 193.8 | Over |
| ORLvNYK | 192 | 195.71 | Over |
| LALvNOP | 211 | 204.64 | Under |
| PORvDEN | 209.5 | 208.26 | Under |
| BKNvPHX | 205 | 202.87 | Under |
| HOUvMIN | 201 | 200.16 | Under |
My Plays
Detroit Pistons v Washington Wizards
Game: under 192
1.915 (-109)
.5 (HALF) Unit
Oklahoma City Thunder v Boston Celtics
Game: over 197
1.991 (-101)
.5 (HALF) Unit
Orlando Magic v New York Knicks
Game: over 192.5
1.915 (-109)
1.5 Units
Utah Jazz v Atlanta Hawks
Game: under 198
1.971 (-103)
1.5 Units
Indiana Pacers v Miami Heat
Game: over 188.5
1.991 (-101)
3 Units
Portland Trail Blazers v Denver Nuggets
Game: under 209.5
1.924 (-108)
.5 (HALF) Unit
Brooklyn Nets v Phoenix Suns
Game: under 205
1.915 (-109)
1 Unit
Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves (n)
Game: under 201
1.961 (-104)
.5 (HALF) Unit
Los Angeles Lakers v New Orleans Pelicans
Game: under 211
1.882 (-113)
3 units
Tuesday, November 11, 2014
42-37-23
Total Model Record
42-37-23
Total Betting Record
35-26-2
+6.9 Units
Today's Games
My Plays
42-37-23
Total Betting Record
35-26-2
+6.9 Units
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| ORLvTOR | 201 | 201.41 | PUSH |
| LALvMEM | 195.5 | 195.12 | PUSH |
| OKCvMIL | 190 | 189.14 | Under |
| SACvDAL | 205.5 | 204.63 | Under |
| CHAvPOR | 195 | 189.34 | Under |
| SASvGSW | 199 | 199.27 | PUSH |
My Plays
Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks
Game: under 190
1.924 (-108)
.5 (HALF) Unit
Sacramento Kings v Dallas Mavericks
Game: under 205.5
1.924 (-108)
.5 (HALF) Unit
Charlotte Hornets v Portland Trail Blazers
Game: under 195
1.882 (-113)
4 UnitsMonday, November 10, 2014
38-37-22
Total Model Record
38-37-22
Total Betting Record
32-26-2
+ 2.9 Units
Today's Games
My Plays
38-37-22
Total Betting Record
32-26-2
+ 2.9 Units
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| UTAvIND | 190 | 190.4 | PUSH |
| NOPvCLE | 203 | 205.71 | Over |
| ATLvNYK | 197 | 196.45 | Under |
| DETvCHI | 191.5 | 193.76 | Over |
| SASvLAC | 202.5 | 198.5 | Under |
My Plays
Detroit Pistons v Chicago Bulls
Game: over 191.5
1.882 (-113)
1 unit
New Orleans Pelicans v Cleveland Cavaliers
Game: over 203
1.882 (-113)
1.5 Units
San Antonio Spurs v Los Angeles Clippers
Game: under 202.5
1.915 (-109)
2 Units
Sunday, November 9, 2014
37-33-19
Total Model Record
37-33-19
Total Betting Record
31-22-2
+ 6 Units
Today's Games
My Plays
Golden State Warriors v Phoenix Suns
Game: over 210.5
1.933 (-107)
1 Unit
Utah Jazz v Detroit Pistons
Game: over 194
1.924 (-108)
.5(HALF) Unit
Sacramento Kings v Oklahoma City Thunder
Game: under 193.5
1.924 (-108)
.5(HALF) Unit
Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks
Game: under 205
1.897 (-111)
1 Unit
Charlotte Hornets v Los Angeles Lakers
Game: over 204
1.924 (-108)
2 Units
37-33-19
Total Betting Record
31-22-2
+ 6 Units
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| ORLvBKN | 197.5 | 197.33 | PUSH |
| UTAvDET | 194 | 195.17 | Over |
| SACvOKC | 193.5 | 192.64 | Under |
| PHIvTOR | 204 | 204.64 | PUSH |
| MIAvDAL | 205 | 202.53 | Under |
| GSWvPHX | 211 | 213.6 | Over |
| DENvPOR | 206 | 206.45 | PUSH |
| CHAvLAL | 204 | 207.94 | Over |
My Plays
Golden State Warriors v Phoenix Suns
Game: over 210.5
1.933 (-107)
1 Unit
Utah Jazz v Detroit Pistons
Game: over 194
1.924 (-108)
.5(HALF) Unit
Sacramento Kings v Oklahoma City Thunder
Game: under 193.5
1.924 (-108)
.5(HALF) Unit
Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks
Game: under 205
1.897 (-111)
1 Unit
Charlotte Hornets v Los Angeles Lakers
Game: over 204
1.924 (-108)
2 Units
Saturday, November 8, 2014
31-32-18
Total Model Record
31-32-18
Total Betting Record
25-21-2
+.7 Units
Anyone else pumped for the Rockets/Warriors game?
Today's Games
My Plays
Portland Trail Blazers v Los Angeles Clippers
Game: over 204.5
1.942 (-106)
3 Units
New York Knicks v Atlanta Hawks
Game: over 194.5
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit
Golden State Warriors v Houston Rockets
Game: under 206
1.942 (-106)
2 Units
Memphis Grizzlies v Milwaukee Bucks
Game: under 185.5
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit
New Orleans Pelicans v San Antonio Spurs
Game: over 195.5
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit
Boston Celtics v Chicago Bulls
Game: under 194
1.906 (-110)
4 Units
Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat
Game: under 205
1.897 (-111)
2 Units
31-32-18
Total Betting Record
25-21-2
+.7 Units
Anyone else pumped for the Rockets/Warriors game?
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| PORvLAC | 204.5 | 208.18 | Over |
| WASvIND | 183.5 | 183.57 | PUSH |
| NYKvATL | 194.5 | 196.72 | Over |
| MINvMIA | 205 | 201.62 | Under |
| BOSvCHI | 194 | 188.45 | Under |
| GSWvHOU | 206 | 202.12 | Under |
| MEMvMIL | 185.5 | 184.18 | Under |
| NOPvSAS | 195.5 | 197.55 | Over |
My Plays
Portland Trail Blazers v Los Angeles Clippers
Game: over 204.5
1.942 (-106)
3 Units
New York Knicks v Atlanta Hawks
Game: over 194.5
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit
Golden State Warriors v Houston Rockets
Game: under 206
1.942 (-106)
2 Units
Memphis Grizzlies v Milwaukee Bucks
Game: under 185.5
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit
New Orleans Pelicans v San Antonio Spurs
Game: over 195.5
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit
Boston Celtics v Chicago Bulls
Game: under 194
1.906 (-110)
4 Units
Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat
Game: under 205
1.897 (-111)
2 Units
Friday, November 7, 2014
28-26-16
Total Model Record
28-26-16
Total Betting Record
22-17-2
+1.5Units
Today's Games
My Plays
Sacramento Kings v Phoenix Suns
Game: over 206
1.906 (-110)
4 Units
Dallas Mavericks v Utah Jazz
Game: under 206.5
1.890 (-112)
3 Units
Chicago Bulls v Philadelphia 76ers
Game: under 189.5
1.924 (-108)
3 Units
Milwaukee Bucks v Detroit Pistons
Game: under 192
1.924 (-108)
3 Units
Indiana Pacers v Boston Celtics
Game: under 194
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit
Atlanta Hawks v Charlotte Hornets
Game: over 193
1.915 (-109)
1 unit
Memphis Grizzlies v Oklahoma City Thunder
Game: over 183
1.915 (-109)
1 Unit
28-26-16
Total Betting Record
22-17-2
+1.5Units
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet | |
| ATLvCHA | 193 | 195.48 | Over | |
| MINvORL | 202.5 | 201.89 | Under | |
| CHIvPHI | 189.5 | 185.75 | Under | |
| INDvBOS | 194 | 192.56 | Under | |
| NYKvBKN | 191 | 191.42 | PUSH | |
| MILvDET | 192 | 187.23 | Under | |
| WASvTOR | 194.5 | 194.59 | PUSH | |
| MEMvOKC | 183 | 185.93 | Under | |
| SACvPHX | 206 | 213.74 | Over | |
| DALvUTA | 206.5 | 200.45 | Under | |
| CLEvDEN | 208.5 | 207.66 | Under |
My Plays
Sacramento Kings v Phoenix Suns
Game: over 206
1.906 (-110)
4 Units
Dallas Mavericks v Utah Jazz
Game: under 206.5
1.890 (-112)
3 Units
Chicago Bulls v Philadelphia 76ers
Game: under 189.5
1.924 (-108)
3 Units
Milwaukee Bucks v Detroit Pistons
Game: under 192
1.924 (-108)
3 Units
Indiana Pacers v Boston Celtics
Game: under 194
1.924 (-108)
1 Unit
Atlanta Hawks v Charlotte Hornets
Game: over 193
1.915 (-109)
1 unit
Memphis Grizzlies v Oklahoma City Thunder
Game: over 183
1.915 (-109)
1 Unit
Thursday, November 6, 2014
27-26-15
Total Model Record
27-26-15
Total Betting Record
21-17-2
+.2Units
Big night last night, almost winning all 7 plays. Model seems to be getting more accurate as more seasonal data is gathered (if vegas lines are used as a measurement of accuracy).
Today's Games
My Plays
27-26-15
Total Betting Record
21-17-2
+.2Units
Big night last night, almost winning all 7 plays. Model seems to be getting more accurate as more seasonal data is gathered (if vegas lines are used as a measurement of accuracy).
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| SASvHOU | 199.5 | 196.71 | Under |
| DALvPOR | 206.5 | 206.15 | PUSH |
My Plays
San Antonio Spurs v Houston Rockets
Game: under 199.5
1.882 (-113)
1.5 Units
Wednesday, November 5, 2014
21-25-10
Total Model Record
21-25-10
Total Betting Record
15-17-1
-8.1 Units
Today's Games
Edit @ 11:22AM PST to add:
21-25-10
Total Betting Record
15-17-1
-8.1 Units
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet | |
| MIAvCHA | 192 | 189.73 | Under | |
| ORLvPHI | 195.5 | 192.25 | Under | |
| TORvBOS | 205 | 208.12 | Over | |
| MINvBKN | 208 | 203.49 | Under | |
| NYKvDET | 188 | 188.03 | PUSH | |
| CHIvMIL | 191.5 | 192.74 | Over | |
| INDvWAS | 188.5 | 192.77 | Over | |
| ATLvSAS | 202 | 202.13 | PUSH | |
| MEMvPHX | 194.5 | 194.50 | PUSH | |
| CLEvUTA | 202 | 210.27 | Over | |
| DENvSAC | 202 | 202.11 | PUSH | |
| LACvGSW | 208 | 212.46 | Over |
My Plays
Cleveland Cavaliers v Utah Jazz
Game: over 202
1.857 (-117)
4 Units
Indiana Pacers v Washington Wizards
Game: over 188.5
1.924 (-108)
1.5 Units
Los Angeles Clippers v Golden State Warriors
Game: over 208
1.952 (-105)
1.5 Units
Minnesota Timberwolves v Brooklyn Nets
Game: under 208
1.915 (-109)
2 Units
2 Units
Miami Heat v Charlotte Hornets
Game: under 192
1.897 (-111)
1 Unit
Orlando Magic v Philadelphia 76ers
Game: under 195.5
1.906 (-110)
1 UnitEdit @ 11:22AM PST to add:
Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics
Game: over 204
1.924 (-108)
2 Units
Tuesday, November 4, 2014
18-24-6
Total Model Record
18-24-6
Total Betting Record
13-16-1
-12.22 Units
Today's Games
My Plays
Milwaukee Bucks v Indiana Pacers
Game: under 191.5
1.873 (-115)
3 Units
Oklahoma City Thunder v Toronto Raptors
Game: under 195
1.924 (-108)
3 Units
Charlotte Hornets v New Orleans Pelicans
Game: under 190.5
1.971 (-103)
1 Unit
18-24-6
Total Betting Record
13-16-1
-12.22 Units
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| MILvIND | 192 | 188.28 | Under |
| HOUvMIA | 200 | 199.83 | PUSH |
| WASvNYK | 190.5 | 189.94 | Under |
| OKCvTOR | 195 | 188.47 | Under |
| ORLvCHI | 190 | 189.97 | PUSH |
| CHAvNOP | 190.5 | 187.31 | Under |
| CLEvPOR | 202 | 202.11 | PUSH |
| PHXvLA | 214 | 214.46 | PUSH |
My Plays
Milwaukee Bucks v Indiana Pacers
Game: under 191.5
1.873 (-115)
3 Units
Oklahoma City Thunder v Toronto Raptors
Game: under 195
1.924 (-108)
3 Units
Charlotte Hornets v New Orleans Pelicans
Game: under 190.5
1.971 (-103)
1 Unit
Sunday, November 2, 2014
17-20-5
Total Model Record
17-20-5
Total Betting Record
12-12-1
-7.22 Units
Out in front of some of the lines
New Orleans Pelicans v Memphis Grizzlies
Game: over 189.5
1.924 (-108)
Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks
Game: under 208
2.050 (+105)
2 Units
Houston Rockets v Philadelphia 76ers
Game: over 203
1.915 (-109)
2 Units
Sacramento Kings v Denver Nuggets
Game: over 200.5
1.827 (-121)
Utah Jazz v Los Angeles Clippers *
Game: under 206
1.873 (-115)
*Made this play sunday night before my Ref adjustments, which makes this a no bet for me in retrospect.
17-20-5
Total Betting Record
12-12-1
-7.22 Units
Out in front of some of the lines
Today's Games (edit: 8:33am)
|
My plays
1 Unit unless statedNew Orleans Pelicans v Memphis Grizzlies
Game: over 189.5
1.924 (-108)
Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks
Game: under 208
2.050 (+105)
2 Units
Houston Rockets v Philadelphia 76ers
Game: over 203
1.915 (-109)
2 Units
Sacramento Kings v Denver Nuggets
Game: over 200.5
1.827 (-121)
Utah Jazz v Los Angeles Clippers *
Game: under 206
1.873 (-115)
*Made this play sunday night before my Ref adjustments, which makes this a no bet for me in retrospect.
14-19-5
Total Model Record
14-19-5
Total Betting Record
9-11-1
-9 Units
A good ol' fashioned ass whoopin'
14-19-5
Total Betting Record
9-11-1
-9 Units
A good ol' fashioned ass whoopin'
Today's Games
| Game | Line | Predict | Bet |
| SACvLAC | 205.5 | 204.18 | Under |
| TORvMIA | 197.5 | 194.44 | Under |
| CHAvNYK | 187.5 | 190.21 | Over |
| GSWvPOR | 206.5 | 205.77 | Under |
My Plays
Bought some points here and there. All plays for one unit.
Sacramento Kings v Los Angeles Clippers
Game: under 206.5
1.774 (-129)
Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat
Game: under 197.5
1.942 (-106)
Charlotte Hornets v New York Knicks
Game: over 187
1.906 (-110)
Golden State Warriors v Portland Trail Blazers
Game: under 208
1.820 (-122)
I also think Raptors moneyline is a good play but that is outside the realm of focus here.
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